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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

69-51  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Aug 12 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

43-76  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Jack Flaherty
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Flaherty

#9 | Starting Pitcher
@
Edgar Quero
STARTING PITCHER

Edgar Quero

#26 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jack Flaherty None-None 4.76 -- 4.1 6
Edgar Quero None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
4.76 ERA --
-- WHIP --
4.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
6 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
71%
📊
WHITE SOX
29%
TIGERS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

59.0%

White Sox Cover

41.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.5%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.1%

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.5%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
5.57
DETROIT
4.66
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
71% Win Prob
B
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
C
Sim White Sox (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.2
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026 DET @ CHW 11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026 CHW @ DET 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
181 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5) +21.4% more
Detroit: 8.7 vs Chicago: 6.8
Total Bases (L5) +19.3% more
Detroit: 14.7 vs Chicago: 11.9
Walks (L5) +45.1% more
Chicago: 3.7 vs Detroit: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 5.6 6
CHW Score 4.7 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.1 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.8 / 8.7 13.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.4 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 10.4 / 7.9 11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 11.9 / 14.7 16.0 / 16.0
Walks 3.7 / 2.6 2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
48% 81-87
54% 86-73
56% 94-74
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 99-69
64% 101-58
55% 93-75
57% 91-69
TTL
58% 97-69-2
46% 69-81-9
51% 85-81-2
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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