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LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

68-51  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Aug 12 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

57-62  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Alex Vesia
STARTING PITCHER

Alex Vesia

#51 | Relief Pitcher
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Alex Vesia None-None 2.76 -- 0.2 --
Reid Detmers None-None 4.56 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
2.76 Ldr ERA 4.56
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
59%
📊
ANGELS
41%
DODGERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 61%
Under 0 39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

29.7%

Angels Cover

70.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAD By 1-2 runs

13.2%

LAD By 3-4 runs

7.5%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.14
LOS ANGELES
5.27
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
41% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
C
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.4
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 LAA @ LAD 13 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 LAA @ LAD 2 - 9
Jun 5, 2026 LAA @ LAD 0 - 1
May 17, 2026 LAD @ LAA 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 LAD @ LAA 15 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.762 ▲
OPS
.679
204 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +16.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.3 vs Los Angeles: 0.2
Home Runs (L5) +14.4% more
Los Angeles: 2.1 vs Los Angeles: 1.8
Home Runs (Season) +24.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +18.2% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 3.1 6
LAA Score 5.3 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 8.3 9.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 2.1 / 1.8 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 10.6 9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 15.4 / 15.1 15.0 / 17.0
Walks 4.1 / 4.2 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
LAD
LAA
LAD
ML
59% 96-66
56% 92-73
55% 89-73
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 98-67
51% 82-80
43% 72-94
TTL
53% 83-74-5
48% 77-82-6
52% 82-75-5
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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