DETROIT
TIGERSDET
68-51 | Road
2
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
43-75 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Finnegan
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | None-None | 3.95 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 3.75 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.95
ERA
Ldr 3.75
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
70%
WHITE SOX
30%
TIGERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
73%
Under 0
27%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.3%
DET By 3-4 runs
15.3%
CHW By 1-2 runs
17.2%
CHW By 3-4 runs
11.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
5.75
DETROIT
Chicago
5.14
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
70% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.9
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.720
OPS
▲
.826
181
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+8.8% more
Detroit: 9.0
vs
Chicago: 8.2
Total Bases (L5)
+8.1% more
Detroit: 15.5
vs
Chicago: 14.3
Errors (L5)
+50.0% more
Chicago: 0.7
vs
Detroit: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
5.8
2
CHW Score
5.1
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 9.0
4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 8.4
13.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
14.3 / 15.5
7.0 / 13.0
Walks
4.6 / 3.3
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
48%
81-87
54%
86-73
56%
94-74
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
99-69
64%
101-58
55%
93-75
57%
91-69
TTL
58%
97-69-2
46%
69-81-9
51%
85-81-2
46%
69-81-10
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox