HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
65-52 | Road
7
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
62-55 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan King
#74 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Hill
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan King | None-None | 3.10 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Tim Hill | None-None | 3.10 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.10
ERA
3.10
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
53%
YANKEES
47%
ASTROS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
59%
Under 0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
HOU By 1-2 runs
15.3%
HOU By 3-4 runs
9.6%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
3.88
HOUSTON
New York
5.25
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Houston
4
HOUSTON
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Loss
47% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
A
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
HOU @ NYY
5 - 1
Aug 26, 2026
HOU @ NYY
3 - 9
Aug 25, 2026
HOU @ NYY
9 - 7
Apr 26, 2026
NYY @ HOU
4 - 7
Apr 25, 2026
NYY @ HOU
8 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
New York
NYY
2
▲
Games Played
1
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.582
OPS
▲
1.041
4
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+200.0% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Houston: 3.0
Errors (L5)
+87.0% more
New York: 1.0
vs
Houston: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+44.1% more
New York: 9.2
vs
Houston: 6.4
Walks (L5)
+37.5% more
New York: 4.6
vs
Houston: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
3.9
7
NYY Score
5.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 9.3
3.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.3
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.2 / 6.4
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
10.5 / 15.6
3.0 / 22.0
Walks
4.6 / 3.4
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
HOU
NYY
HOU
ML
47%
76-85
50%
81-82
52%
85-77
47%
77-87
ATS
59%
95-66
56%
91-72
53%
86-76
55%
90-74
TTL
53%
81-73-7
45%
70-84-9
53%
82-72-7
45%
69-86-9
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