WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
45-70 | Road
4
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
59-57 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Young
#30 | Center Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Carson Whisenhunt
#88 | SP| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Young | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Carson Whisenhunt | None-None | 5.02 | -- | 4.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
5.02
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
4.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
5
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
38%
GIANTS
62%
NATIONALS
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
WSH By 1-2 runs
15.4%
WSH By 3-4 runs
9.6%
SF By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SF By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3.15
WASHINGTON
San Francisco
4.51
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
San Francisco
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Giants
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim
Giants (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 10, 2026
WSH @ SF
10 - 11
Jun 9, 2026
WSH @ SF
6 - 3
Jun 8, 2026
WSH @ SF
4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026
SF @ WSH
0 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
SF @ WSH
7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington
WSH
vs
San Francisco
SF
162
Games Played
162
5.07
▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.321
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.423
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.744
▲
OPS
.706
210
▲
Home Runs
178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+133.0% more
San Francisco: 1.6
vs
Washington: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+131.5% more
San Francisco: 16.2
vs
Washington: 7.0
Hits (L5)
+84.3% more
San Francisco: 9.2
vs
Washington: 5.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+22.3% more
San Francisco: 9.1
vs
Washington: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.2
4
SF Score
4.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 5.0
8.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.3
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 7.5
7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
16.2 / 7.0
12.0 / 23.0
Walks
2.3 / 3.3
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
WSH
SF
WSH
ML
49%
79-81
57%
92-69
53%
85-75
54%
87-74
ATS
62%
100-60
58%
93-68
52%
83-77
57%
91-70
TTL
55%
82-68-10
50%
77-78-6
46%
68-81-11
42%
65-90-6
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