MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
57-59 | Road
6
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
49-67 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Zuber
#55 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Dylan Lee
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Zuber | None-None | 6.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Dylan Lee | None-None | 2.98 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.00
ERA
Ldr 2.98
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
57%
BRAVES
43%
MARLINS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIA -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
MIA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
16.5%
ATL By 1-2 runs
16.1%
ATL By 3-4 runs
10.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
4.85
MIAMI
Atlanta
3.77
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Miami
3
MIAMI
Atlanta
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Marlins
Loss
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Marlins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
ATL @ MIA
3 - 5
Sep 26, 2026
ATL @ MIA
8 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
ATL @ MIA
0 - 3
Aug 6, 2026
MIA @ ATL
3 - 11
Aug 5, 2026
MIA @ ATL
1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.41
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.249
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.326
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.727
OPS
▲
.757
168
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Miami: 168.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+31.3% more
Miami: 9.3
vs
Atlanta: 6.4
Total Bases (L5)
+20.2% more
Miami: 15.1
vs
Atlanta: 12.1
Errors (L5)
+17.0% more
Miami: 0.3
vs
Atlanta: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
4.9
6
ATL Score
3.8
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.4 / 9.3
7.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.4
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.8 / 8.0
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
12.1 / 15.1
11.0 / 6.0
Walks
2.6 / 2.7
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIA
ATL
MIA
ML
46%
77-90
48%
78-84
54%
90-78
55%
88-72
ATS
57%
96-71
56%
91-71
52%
87-81
54%
86-74
TTL
53%
83-73-11
56%
88-69-5
49%
76-80-11
53%
82-73-5
Contextual Game News
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Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS