HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
64-51 | Road
5
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
61-54 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Josh Hader
#71 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cam Schlittler
#31 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hader | None-None | 2.05 | -- | 2.0 | -- |
| Cam Schlittler | None-None | 4.38 | -- | 5.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.05 Ldr
ERA
4.38
--
WHIP
--
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
53%
YANKEES
47%
ASTROS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
HOU By 1-2 runs
13.7%
HOU By 3-4 runs
7.9%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
3.25
HOUSTON
New York
5.22
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Houston
3
HOUSTON
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Loss
47% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
HOU @ NYY
5 - 1
Aug 26, 2026
HOU @ NYY
3 - 9
Aug 25, 2026
HOU @ NYY
9 - 7
Apr 26, 2026
NYY @ HOU
4 - 7
Apr 25, 2026
NYY @ HOU
8 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
New York
NYY
2
▲
Games Played
1
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.582
OPS
▲
1.041
4
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+200.0% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Houston: 3.0
Walks (L5)
+51.0% more
New York: 5.4
vs
Houston: 3.6
Errors (L5)
+44.0% more
New York: 0.7
vs
Houston: 0.2
Slugging Pct (Season)
+24.0%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Houston: 35.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
3.3
5
NYY Score
5.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.0 / 10.6
5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.1
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 8.4
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.4 / 17.7
7.0 / 17.0
Walks
5.4 / 3.6
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
HOU
NYY
HOU
ML
47%
76-85
50%
81-82
52%
85-77
47%
77-87
ATS
59%
95-66
56%
91-72
53%
86-76
55%
90-74
TTL
53%
81-73-7
45%
70-84-9
53%
82-72-7
45%
69-86-9
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Yankees' Faithful Boo as Another Season Ends in Disappointment: …