NEW YORK
METSNYM
63-52 | Road
2
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
70-44 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kodai Senga
#34 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | None-None | 2.30 | -- | 4.1 | 2 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.25 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.30
ERA
Ldr 2.25
--
WHIP
--
4.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
METS
43%
BREWERS
57%
METS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)
NYM By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYM By 3-4 runs
16.3%
MIL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.52
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
4.52
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mets
Loss
43% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mets (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 2
Aug 26, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 1
Aug 25, 2026
MIL @ NYM
2 - 3
Jul 22, 2026
NYM @ MIL
3 - 4
Jul 21, 2026
NYM @ MIL
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.705
OPS
▲
.743
204
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+45.0% more
New York: 0.5
vs
Milwaukee: 0.0
Home Runs (Season)
+24.5% more
New York: 204.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Total Bases (L5)
+120.9% more
Milwaukee: 18.5
vs
New York: 8.4
Hits (L5)
+116.2% more
Milwaukee: 11.4
vs
New York: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
5.5
2
MIL Score
4.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.5
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
11.4 / 5.3
4.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.8
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.4 / 8.9
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
18.5 / 8.4
8.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.3
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
NYM
MIL
NYM
ML
62%
101-61
50%
79-80
52%
84-78
48%
76-83
ATS
58%
94-68
58%
93-66
48%
78-84
49%
78-81
TTL
40%
62-92-8
55%
80-66-13
50%
77-77-8
51%
74-72-13
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