CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
42-72 | Road
3
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
62-53 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 4.09 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 2.93 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.09
ERA
Ldr 2.93
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
33%
MARINERS
67%
WHITE SOX
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
76%
Under 0
24%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
CHW By 1-2 runs
14.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.9%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.23
CHICAGO
Seattle
5.84
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
67% Win Prob
C
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
CHW @ SEA
4 - 5
May 19, 2026
CHW @ SEA
2 - 1
May 18, 2026
CHW @ SEA
1 - 6
May 10, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 2
May 9, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Seattle
SEA
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.826
▲
OPS
.693
1
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18100.0% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+18.9% more
Seattle: 10.5
vs
Chicago: 8.8
Walks (L5)
+43.0% more
Chicago: 4.4
vs
Seattle: 2.5
Errors (L5)
+40.0% more
Chicago: 0.8
vs
Seattle: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.2
3
SEA Score
5.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.8
1.0 / 2.0
Hits
7.6 / 8.4
6.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
2.2 / 2.4
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.5 / 8.8
12.0 / 16.0
Total Bases
14.9 / 16.7
9.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.5 / 4.4
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CHW
SEA
CHW
ML
50%
81-81
49%
81-86
52%
85-77
56%
94-73
ATS
60%
98-64
59%
99-68
59%
95-67
56%
93-74
TTL
56%
85-67-10
58%
96-69-2
53%
81-71-10
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…