MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
56-57 | Road
6
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
47-66 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Gibson
#58 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Gibson | None-None | 3.38 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 4.44 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.38 Ldr
ERA
4.44
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
58%
BRAVES
42%
MARLINS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
MIA By 1-2 runs
17.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
12.3%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.1%
ATL By 3-4 runs
14.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
4.27
MIAMI
Atlanta
4.7
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Miami
6
MIAMI
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Win
42% Win Prob
D
Sim
Marlins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim
Marlins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
ATL @ MIA
3 - 5
Sep 26, 2026
ATL @ MIA
8 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
ATL @ MIA
0 - 3
Aug 6, 2026
MIA @ ATL
3 - 11
Aug 5, 2026
MIA @ ATL
1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.41
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.249
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.326
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.727
OPS
▲
.757
168
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+22.8% more
Atlanta: 3.2
vs
Miami: 2.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+13.4% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Miami: 4.4
Errors (L5)
+11.0% more
Atlanta: 0.2
vs
Miami: 0.1
Slugging Pct (Season)
+3.3%
Atlanta: 43.3%
vs
Miami: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
4.3
6
ATL Score
4.7
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.1
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.4 / 9.2
11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 1.9
3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.5 / 7.7
7.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
12.9 / 16.3
21.0 / 16.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.6
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIA
ATL
MIA
ML
46%
77-90
48%
78-84
54%
90-78
55%
88-72
ATS
57%
96-71
56%
91-71
52%
87-81
54%
86-74
TTL
53%
83-73-11
56%
88-69-5
49%
76-80-11
53%
82-73-5
Contextual Game News
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Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS