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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

53-60  |  Road

9
FINAL
Wed, Aug 6 • 1:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

66-49  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Kody Funderburk
STARTING PITCHER

Kody Funderburk

#57 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tyler Holton
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Holton

#87 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kody Funderburk None-None 6.10 -- 1.0 --
Tyler Holton None-None 3.97 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
6.10 ERA Ldr 3.97
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
40%
📊
TIGERS
60%
TWINS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

40.5%

Tigers Cover

59.5%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

MIN By 1-2 runs

16.4%

MIN By 3-4 runs

10.7%

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.68
MINNESOTA
4.64
DETROIT
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 MIN @ DET 2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026 MIN @ DET 3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 MIN @ DET 4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026 DET @ MIN 11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 DET @ MIN 2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.720
OPS
.720
187 ▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +50.0% more
Detroit: 2.6 vs Minnesota: 1.7
Errors (L5) +36.0% more
Detroit: 0.5 vs Minnesota: 0.1
Hits (L5) +21.1% more
Detroit: 9.4 vs Minnesota: 7.8
Total Bases (L5) +10.7% more
Detroit: 16.4 vs Minnesota: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.7 9
DET Score 4.6 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.1 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.4 / 7.8 8.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.6 3.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 6.5 / 8.8 4.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 16.4 / 14.8 17.0 / 23.0
Walks 2.6 / 1.7 4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
54% 86-73
52% 84-78
54% 87-73
50% 80-81
ATS
64% 101-58
59% 95-67
57% 91-69
59% 95-66
TTL
46% 69-81-9
51% 78-75-9
46% 69-81-10
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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