MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
69-44 | Road
5
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
47-65 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.31 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 4.53 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.31 Ldr
ERA
4.53
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
68%
BRAVES
32%
BREWERS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
18.6%
ATL By 1-2 runs
13.2%
ATL By 3-4 runs
7.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
6.73
MILWAUKEE
Atlanta
4.61
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
68% Win Prob
C
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
A
Sim
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.3
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
ATL @ MIL
4 - 2
Aug 22, 2026
ATL @ MIL
1 - 4
Aug 21, 2026
ATL @ MIL
1 - 2
Jun 21, 2026
MIL @ ATL
9 - 4
Jun 20, 2026
MIL @ ATL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
5.00
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.743
OPS
▲
.757
154
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+33.9% more
Milwaukee: 8.7
vs
Atlanta: 5.7
Hits (L5)
+29.9% more
Milwaukee: 10.0
vs
Atlanta: 7.0
Total Bases (L5)
+22.3% more
Milwaukee: 15.3
vs
Atlanta: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
6.7
5
ATL Score
4.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.0 / 10.0
8.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.1
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
5.7 / 8.7
8.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 15.3
15.0 / 25.0
Walks
3.8 / 4.9
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIL
ATL
MIL
ML
46%
77-90
62%
101-61
54%
90-78
52%
84-78
ATS
57%
96-71
58%
94-68
52%
87-81
48%
78-84
TTL
53%
83-73-11
40%
62-92-8
49%
76-80-11
50%
77-77-8
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