CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
42-71 | Road
6
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
61-53 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Colson Montgomery
#12 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colson Montgomery | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.43 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
1.43
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
34%
MARINERS
66%
WHITE SOX
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
CHW By 1-2 runs
14.1%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.3%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.26
CHICAGO
Seattle
6.08
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.8
D
Sim
White Sox (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.3
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
CHW @ SEA
4 - 5
May 19, 2026
CHW @ SEA
2 - 1
May 18, 2026
CHW @ SEA
1 - 6
May 10, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 2
May 9, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Seattle
SEA
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.826
▲
OPS
.693
1
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18100.0% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+60.0% more
Chicago: 0.7
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Walks (L5)
+50.8% more
Chicago: 3.6
vs
Seattle: 1.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+31.7% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.3
6
SEA Score
6.1
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.7
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.9 / 8.1
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
2.3 / 2.1
2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 8.8
14.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
15.9 / 15.6
13.0 / 19.0
Walks
1.8 / 3.6
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CHW
SEA
CHW
ML
50%
81-81
49%
81-86
52%
85-77
56%
94-73
ATS
60%
98-64
59%
99-68
59%
95-67
56%
93-74
TTL
56%
85-67-10
58%
96-69-2
53%
81-71-10
51%
84-81-2
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