MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
52-60 | Road
6
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
66-48 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Troy Melton
#52 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 6.41 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Troy Melton | None-None | 3.86 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.41
ERA
Ldr 3.86
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
39%
TIGERS
61%
TWINS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
74%
Under 0
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.9%
MIN By 3-4 runs
10.2%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.46
MINNESOTA
Detroit
4.61
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
MIN @ DET
2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026
MIN @ DET
3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026
MIN @ DET
4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026
DET @ MIN
11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026
DET @ MIN
2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.720
OPS
.720
187
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+57.7% more
Detroit: 2.2
vs
Minnesota: 1.4
Total Bases (L5)
+38.4% more
Detroit: 17.5
vs
Minnesota: 12.7
Hits (L5)
+34.3% more
Detroit: 9.6
vs
Minnesota: 7.2
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.3%
Detroit: 32.0%
vs
Minnesota: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.5
6
DET Score
4.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.1
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.6 / 7.2
9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
2.2 / 1.4
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 8.3
2.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
17.5 / 12.7
14.0 / 19.0
Walks
1.4 / 2.1
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
54%
86-73
52%
84-78
54%
87-73
50%
80-81
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
95-67
57%
91-69
59%
95-66
TTL
46%
69-81-9
51%
78-75-9
46%
69-81-10
53%
80-72-9
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