MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

68-44  |  Road

7
FINAL
Tue, Aug 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Truist Park
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

47-64  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Grant Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Anderson

#56 | Relief Pitcher
@
Ozzie Albies
STARTING PITCHER

Ozzie Albies

#1 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Anderson None-None 3.23 -- 1.0 1
Ozzie Albies None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.23 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
68%
📊
BRAVES
32%
BREWERS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 BravesATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

73.6%

Braves Cover

26.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.1%

MIL By 3-4 runs

19.2%

ATL By 1-2 runs

12.0%

ATL By 3-4 runs

6.5%

AI Model Projected Score
6.89
MILWAUKEE
4.37
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Win
68% Win Prob
C
Sim Braves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.5
D
Sim Braves (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.3
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 ATL @ MIL 4 - 2
Aug 22, 2026 ATL @ MIL 1 - 4
Aug 21, 2026 ATL @ MIL 1 - 2
Jun 21, 2026 MIL @ ATL 9 - 4
Jun 20, 2026 MIL @ ATL 3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Atlanta ATL
162 ▲
Games Played
1
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
5.00
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .433
.743
OPS
▲ .757
154 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Milwaukee: 154.0 vs Atlanta: 1.0
Hits (L5) +40.8% more
Milwaukee: 11.0 vs Atlanta: 6.5
Home Runs (L5) +38.5% more
Milwaukee: 1.6 vs Atlanta: 1.0
Total Bases (L5) +37.0% more
Milwaukee: 17.9 vs Atlanta: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 6.9 7
ATL Score 4.4 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.1 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.5 / 11.0 8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.6 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 5.1 / 7.5 7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 11.3 / 17.9 13.0 / 10.0
Walks 3.8 / 3.4 4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
ATL
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0