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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

42-69  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Aug 3 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

53-58  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Sean Burke
STARTING PITCHER

Sean Burke

#59 | Starting Pitcher
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sean Burke None-None 4.23 -- 5.0 7
Reid Detmers None-None 4.24 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
4.23 Ldr ERA 4.24
-- WHIP --
5.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
7 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
40%
📊
ANGELS
60%
WHITE SOX --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 30%
Under 0 70%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

76.6%

Angels Cover

23.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

18.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

19.5%

LAA By 1-2 runs

10.9%

LAA By 3-4 runs

5.6%

AI Model Projected Score
7.1
CHICAGO
4.2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.9
B
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 6, 2026 CHW @ LAA 2 - 8
May 5, 2026 CHW @ LAA 3 - 4
May 4, 2026 CHW @ LAA 6 - 0
Apr 29, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 3
Apr 28, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.826 ▲
OPS
.679
1
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +66.0% more
Chicago: 2.0 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +55.9% more
Chicago: 16.0 vs Los Angeles: 7.1
Hits (L5) +53.1% more
Chicago: 9.4 vs Los Angeles: 4.4
Runs per Game (Season) +32.7% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 7.1 5
LAA Score 4.2 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.3 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 4.4 / 9.4 11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 2.0 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.7 / 9.2 4.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 7.1 / 16.0 20.0 / 14.0
Walks 2.7 / 3.1 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CHW
LAA
CHW
ML
59% 96-66
49% 81-86
55% 89-73
56% 94-73
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 99-68
51% 82-80
56% 93-74
TTL
53% 83-74-5
58% 96-69-2
52% 82-75-5
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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