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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

57-54  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Aug 2 • 4:10 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

59-52  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Cole Winn
STARTING PITCHER

Cole Winn

#60 | Relief Pitcher
@
Andres Munoz
STARTING PITCHER

Andres Munoz

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cole Winn None-None 1.29 -- 1.0 1
Andres Munoz None-None 1.29 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
1.29 ERA 1.29
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
48%
📊
MARINERS
52%
RANGERS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

39.6%

Mariners Cover

60.4%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

TEX By 1-2 runs

16.2%

TEX By 3-4 runs

10.5%

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

SEA By 3-4 runs

16.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4.36
TEXAS
5.41
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mariners Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mariners (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Mariners (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 10, 2026 TEX @ SEA 3 - 4
Sep 9, 2026 TEX @ SEA 2 - 3
Sep 8, 2026 TEX @ SEA 10 - 5
Jul 27, 2026 SEA @ TEX 3 - 7
Jul 26, 2026 SEA @ TEX 6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.15 ▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.242 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.396 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.713 ▲
OPS
.693
183 ▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +98.0% more
Seattle: 1.5 vs Texas: 0.5
Total Bases (L5) +12.2% more
Seattle: 12.7 vs Texas: 11.3
Walks (L5) +62.8% more
Texas: 3.9 vs Seattle: 1.5
OPS (Season) +2.0%
Texas: 71.3% vs Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 4.4 6
SEA Score 5.4 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.9 / 7.4 7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 0.5 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 9.2 8.0 / 13.0
Total Bases 12.7 / 11.3 12.0 / 16.0
Walks 1.5 / 3.9 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
TEX
SEA
TEX
ML
50% 81-81
53% 86-76
52% 85-77
57% 91-70
ATS
60% 98-64
57% 92-70
59% 95-67
61% 98-63
TTL
56% 85-67-10
53% 78-70-14
53% 81-71-10
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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