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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

41-69  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Aug 2 • 10:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

53-57  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Colson Montgomery
STARTING PITCHER

Colson Montgomery

#12 | Shortstop
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Colson Montgomery None-None -- -- -- --
Reid Detmers None-None 4.32 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.32
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
39%
📊
ANGELS
61%
WHITE SOX --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

80.2%

Angels Cover

19.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

17.7%

CHW By 3-4 runs

19.7%

LAA By 1-2 runs

9.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

4.6%

AI Model Projected Score
7.46
CHICAGO
4.06
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Win
39% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.4
B
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 6, 2026 CHW @ LAA 2 - 8
May 5, 2026 CHW @ LAA 3 - 4
May 4, 2026 CHW @ LAA 6 - 0
Apr 29, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 3
Apr 28, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.826 ▲
OPS
.679
1
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +65.8% more
Chicago: 3.0 vs Los Angeles: 1.0
Total Bases (L5) +52.0% more
Chicago: 21.1 vs Los Angeles: 10.1
Hits (L5) +44.9% more
Chicago: 11.1 vs Los Angeles: 6.1
Runs per Game (Season) +32.7% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 7.5 1
LAA Score 4.1 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.1 / 11.1 1.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 3.0 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 9.3 7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 10.1 / 21.1 1.0 / 6.0
Walks 2.5 / 3.6 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CHW
LAA
CHW
ML
59% 96-66
49% 81-86
55% 89-73
56% 94-73
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 99-68
51% 82-80
56% 93-74
TTL
53% 83-74-5
58% 96-69-2
52% 82-75-5
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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