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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

40-69  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Aug 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

53-56  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Taylor None-None 4.29 -- 0.2 --
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
4.29 ERA --
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
38%
📊
ANGELS
62%
WHITE SOX --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 57%
Under 0 43%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

78.1%

Angels Cover

21.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -3.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

18.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

19.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

10.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

5.2%

AI Model Projected Score
7.33
CHICAGO
4.23
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Win
38% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.1
B
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 6, 2026 CHW @ LAA 2 - 8
May 5, 2026 CHW @ LAA 3 - 4
May 4, 2026 CHW @ LAA 6 - 0
Apr 29, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 3
Apr 28, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.826 ▲
OPS
.679
1
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +58.4% more
Chicago: 2.4 vs Los Angeles: 1.0
Total Bases (L5) +40.4% more
Chicago: 19.6 vs Los Angeles: 11.7
Hits (L5) +35.6% more
Chicago: 11.1 vs Los Angeles: 7.1
Runs per Game (Season) +32.7% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 7.3 6
LAA Score 4.2 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.7 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.1 / 11.1 4.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 2.4 1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 8.5 7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 11.7 / 19.6 7.0 / 24.0
Walks 2.8 / 3.0 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CHW
LAA
CHW
ML
59% 96-66
48% 81-87
55% 89-73
56% 94-74
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 99-69
51% 82-80
55% 93-75
TTL
53% 83-74-5
58% 97-69-2
52% 82-75-5
51% 85-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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