TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
57-52 | Road
0
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
57-52 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Latz
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
George Kirby
#68 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Latz | None-None | 3.23 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| George Kirby | None-None | 4.13 | -- | 6.0 | 6 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.23 Ldr
ERA
4.13
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
50%
MARINERS
50%
RANGERS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.7%
TEX By 3-4 runs
17.1%
SEA By 1-2 runs
15.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
9.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
5.49
TEXAS
Seattle
4.14
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
B
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
TEX @ SEA
3 - 4
Sep 9, 2026
TEX @ SEA
2 - 3
Sep 8, 2026
TEX @ SEA
10 - 5
Jul 27, 2026
SEA @ TEX
3 - 7
Jul 26, 2026
SEA @ TEX
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.713
▲
OPS
.693
183
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+80.0% more
Texas: 0.8
vs
Seattle: 0.0
Hits (L5)
+42.4% more
Texas: 10.1
vs
Seattle: 5.8
Walks (L5)
+36.4% more
Texas: 3.6
vs
Seattle: 2.3
Total Bases (L5)
+30.3% more
Texas: 16.2
vs
Seattle: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
5.5
0
SEA Score
4.1
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.8 / 10.1
9.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.2
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 9.7
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
11.3 / 16.2
18.0 / 5.0
Walks
2.3 / 3.6
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
TEX
SEA
TEX
ML
50%
81-81
53%
86-76
52%
85-77
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
92-70
59%
95-67
61%
98-63
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
78-70-14
53%
81-71-10
55%
81-66-14
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