SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
57-51 | Road
4
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
47-63 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 2.65 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 2.75 | -- | 2.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.65 Ldr
ERA
2.75
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
60%
ATHLETICS
40%
MARINERS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
20%
Under 0
80%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.8%
SEA By 3-4 runs
14.3%
ATH By 1-2 runs
17.9%
ATH By 3-4 runs
12.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.08
SEATTLE
Athletics
4.81
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
60% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
C
Sim
Mariners (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.719
182
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+69.0% more
Athletics: 1.7
vs
Seattle: 1.0
Total Bases (L5)
+54.3% more
Athletics: 16.0
vs
Seattle: 10.4
Errors (L5)
+31.0% more
Athletics: 0.4
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Hits (L5)
+30.5% more
Athletics: 8.8
vs
Seattle: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.1
4
ATH Score
4.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.8 / 6.7
9.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.0
4.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
9.2 / 8.1
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
16.0 / 10.4
22.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.0 / 2.9
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SEA
ATH
SEA
ML
59%
95-67
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
98-64
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
56%
85-67-10
42%
66-90-5
53%
81-71-10
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