SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
57-50 | Road
1
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
46-63 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Young
#2 | Second Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Elvis Alvarado
#37 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Young | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Alvarado | None-None | 3.32 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.32
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
61%
ATHLETICS
39%
MARINERS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
80%
Under 0
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.0%
ATH By 1-2 runs
15.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.85
SEATTLE
Athletics
4.57
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.3
C
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.4
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.719
182
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+14.1% more
Seattle: 2.9
vs
Athletics: 2.5
Errors (L5)
+46.0% more
Athletics: 0.6
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Hits (L5)
+29.6% more
Athletics: 9.2
vs
Seattle: 7.1
Total Bases (L5)
+28.5% more
Athletics: 15.5
vs
Seattle: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.9
1
ATH Score
4.6
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 7.1
8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 1.5
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 8.1
11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
15.5 / 12.1
17.0 / 7.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.9
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SEA
ATH
SEA
ML
59%
95-67
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
98-64
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
56%
85-67-10
42%
66-90-5
53%
81-71-10
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