PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
60-45 | Road
2
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
38-68 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cristopher Sanchez
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez | None-None | 2.55 | -- | 6.2 | 5 |
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 4.43 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.55 Ldr
ERA
4.43
--
WHIP
--
6.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
PHILLIES
70%
WHITE SOX
30%
PHILLIES
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
74%
Under 0
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around PHI -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-2 runs
18.8%
PHI By 3-4 runs
19.4%
CHW By 1-2 runs
11.4%
CHW By 3-4 runs
6.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
6.88
PHILADELPHIA
Chicago
4.14
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phillies
Loss
70% Win Prob
B
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Phillies (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.7
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 7, 2026
CHW @ PHI
5 - 9
Jun 6, 2026
CHW @ PHI
6 - 3
Jun 5, 2026
CHW @ PHI
6 - 8
Jul 30, 2025
PHI @ CHW
3 - 9
Jul 29, 2025
PHI @ CHW
6 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Philadelphia
PHI
vs
Chicago
CHW
2
▲
Games Played
1
3.50
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.286
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.438
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
.724
OPS
▲
.826
3
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+26.5% more
Philadelphia: 2.6
vs
Chicago: 1.9
Total Bases (L5)
+12.6% more
Philadelphia: 19.2
vs
Chicago: 16.8
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.6%
Philadelphia: 43.8%
vs
Chicago: 41.2%
Errors (L5)
+93.0% more
Chicago: 1.3
vs
Philadelphia: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
6.9
2
CHW Score
4.1
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.3 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.5 / 9.1
10.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 2.6
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.4 / 10.5
11.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
16.8 / 19.2
17.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.6 / 3.1
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
PHI
CHW
PHI
ML
48%
81-87
59%
97-67
56%
94-74
49%
80-84
ATS
59%
99-69
65%
107-57
55%
93-75
51%
83-81
TTL
58%
97-69-2
57%
88-67-9
51%
85-81-2
51%
78-76-9
Contextual Game News
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Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox