ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
44-60 | Road
10
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
52-54 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Cruz
#64 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 4.97 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Steven Cruz | None-None | 3.70 | -- | 1.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.97
ERA
Ldr 3.70
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
43%
ROYALS
57%
BRAVES
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATL By 3-4 runs
17.3%
KC By 1-2 runs
15.2%
KC By 3-4 runs
9.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
4.95
ATLANTA
Kansas City
3.54
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Kansas City
7
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Win
43% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
B
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
KC @ ATL
4 - 1
Mar 28, 2026
KC @ ATL
2 - 6
Mar 27, 2026
KC @ ATL
0 - 6
Jul 30, 2025
ATL @ KC
0 - 1
Jul 29, 2025
ATL @ KC
6 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Kansas City
KC
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.324
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.757
▲
OPS
.718
1
Home Runs
▲
170
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+45.1% more
Atlanta: 4.7
vs
Kansas City: 2.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+14.8% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
OPS (Season)
+3.9%
Atlanta: 75.7%
vs
Kansas City: 71.8%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+3.1%
Atlanta: 43.3%
vs
Kansas City: 40.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
5.0
10
KC Score
3.5
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.4 / 6.3
12.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 0.5
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 8.5
4.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
13.7 / 10.6
20.0 / 21.0
Walks
2.6 / 4.7
14.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
ATL
KC
ATL
ML
55%
89-72
46%
77-90
56%
90-70
54%
90-78
ATS
57%
91-70
57%
96-71
58%
93-67
52%
87-81
TTL
58%
90-64-7
53%
83-73-11
54%
83-70-7
49%
76-80-11
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Patrick Mahomes Sr. Cleared for Chiefs Home Games with Strict Ur…