CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
62-43 | Road
4
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
62-43 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Matthew Boyd
#16 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | None-None | 2.47 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.19 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.47
ERA
Ldr 2.19
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
50%
BREWERS
50%
CUBS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHC By 3-4 runs
18.4%
MIL By 1-2 runs
13.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
7.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
5.8
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
3.84
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cubs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cubs (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
CHC @ MIL
6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026
MIL @ CHC
1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026
MIL @ CHC
9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.374
OPS
▲
.743
0
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+55.9% more
Chicago: 1.0
vs
Milwaukee: 0.5
Home Runs (Season)
+15400.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+464.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+264.4% more
Milwaukee: 3.8
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
5.8
4
MIL Score
3.8
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 8.3
10.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.0
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 6.6
14.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
13.7 / 13.4
20.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.8 / 1.0
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHC
MIL
CHC
ML
62%
101-61
58%
93-68
52%
84-78
51%
82-79
ATS
58%
94-68
61%
97-63-1
48%
78-84
47%
75-85-1
TTL
40%
62-92-8
52%
81-74-6
50%
77-77-8
46%
72-83-6
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