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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

56-50  |  Road

4
FINAL
Mon, Jul 28 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

51-55  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Cole Winn
STARTING PITCHER

Cole Winn

#60 | Relief Pitcher
@
Nolan Schanuel
STARTING PITCHER

Nolan Schanuel

#18 | First Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cole Winn None-None 1.35 -- 1.0 1
Nolan Schanuel None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
1.35 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
55%
📊
ANGELS
45%
RANGERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Texas)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

71.9%

Angels Cover

28.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

TEX By 1-2 runs

19.3%

TEX By 3-4 runs

18.9%

LAA By 1-2 runs

12.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

7.0%

AI Model Projected Score
6.29
TEXAS
3.97
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
TEXAS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.3
C
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026 LAA @ TEX 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026 TEX @ LAA 0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026 TEX @ LAA 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713 ▲
OPS
.679
183 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +37.1% more
Texas: 4.2 vs Los Angeles: 2.6
Strikeouts (L5) +28.3% more
Texas: 10.5 vs Los Angeles: 7.5
Hits (L5) +25.5% more
Texas: 8.2 vs Los Angeles: 6.1
Total Bases (L5) +25.2% more
Texas: 12.8 vs Los Angeles: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 6.3 4
LAA Score 4.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.1 / 8.2 9.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 0.9 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.5 / 10.5 8.0 / 13.0
Total Bases 9.6 / 12.8 20.0 / 13.0
Walks 2.6 / 4.2 7.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
95%MONEY5%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59% 96-66
53% 86-76
55% 89-73
57% 91-70
ATS
60% 97-65
57% 92-70
51% 82-80
61% 98-63
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 78-70-14
52% 82-75-5
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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