SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
56-50 | Road
3
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
46-62 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Elvis Alvarado
#37 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.32 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Elvis Alvarado | None-None | 3.50 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.32 Ldr
ERA
3.50
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
60%
ATHLETICS
40%
MARINERS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
25%
Under 0
75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.5%
SEA By 3-4 runs
15.9%
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
11.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.7
SEATTLE
Athletics
4.84
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
C
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.719
182
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+33.0% more
Seattle: 3.4
vs
Athletics: 2.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+21.8% more
Seattle: 9.7
vs
Athletics: 7.6
Hits (L5)
+67.4% more
Athletics: 10.2
vs
Seattle: 6.1
Total Bases (L5)
+61.7% more
Athletics: 18.8
vs
Seattle: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.7
3
ATH Score
4.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.2 / 6.1
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
2.3 / 1.7
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 9.7
10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
18.8 / 11.6
9.0 / 13.0
Walks
2.3 / 3.4
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SEA
ATH
SEA
ML
59%
95-67
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
98-64
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
56%
85-67-10
42%
66-90-5
53%
81-71-10
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