LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
61-44 | Road
3
BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
56-50 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Justin Wrobleski
#70 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Aroldis Chapman
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski | None-None | 4.29 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | None-None | 1.30 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.29
ERA
Ldr 1.30
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
55%
RED SOX
45%
DODGERS
--
RED SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
80%
Under 0
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.8%
LAD By 3-4 runs
14.2%
BOS By 1-2 runs
18.0%
BOS By 3-4 runs
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.93
LOS ANGELES
Boston
4.71
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Boston
5
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
C
Sim
Red Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
BOS @ LAD
8 - 4
Aug 1, 2026
BOS @ LAD
3 - 2
Jul 31, 2026
BOS @ LAD
9 - 4
Jul 27, 2025
LAD @ BOS
3 - 4
Jul 26, 2025
LAD @ BOS
2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Boston
BOS
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.762
▲
OPS
.409
204
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+79.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Boston: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+62.9% more
Los Angeles: 1.7
vs
Boston: 0.6
OPS (Season)
+35.3%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
Boston: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
4.9
3
BOS Score
4.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.3 / 8.7
6.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.7
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.6 / 8.4
6.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
13.2 / 14.6
11.0 / 13.0
Walks
2.5 / 3.6
9.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
BOS
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
LAD
BOS
LAD
ML
50%
80-80
56%
92-73
47%
76-87
48%
79-87
ATS
58%
93-67
59%
98-67
48%
79-84
43%
72-94
TTL
46%
72-83-5
48%
77-82-6
47%
74-83-6
44%
70-90-6
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