ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
45-62 | Road
7
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
60-45 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Okert
#48 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 2.55 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
| Steven Okert | None-None | 3.04 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.55 Ldr
ERA
3.04
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
35%
ASTROS
65%
ATHLETICS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.1%
ATH By 3-4 runs
19.2%
HOU By 1-2 runs
11.9%
HOU By 3-4 runs
6.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
5.88
ATHLETICS
Houston
3.32
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Houston
3
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Win
35% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.6
C
Sim
Athletics (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
HOU @ ATH
9 - 0
Sep 26, 2026
HOU @ ATH
13 - 2
Sep 25, 2026
HOU @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 24, 2026
HOU @ ATH
7 - 5
Aug 23, 2026
ATH @ HOU
7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.719
▲
OPS
.582
194
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+97.9% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Home Runs (L5)
+80.4% more
Athletics: 2.4
vs
Houston: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+50.5% more
Athletics: 19.2
vs
Houston: 9.5
Hits (L5)
+33.0% more
Athletics: 9.9
vs
Houston: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
5.9
7
HOU Score
3.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.0
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.6 / 9.9
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 2.4
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 8.8
9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
9.5 / 19.2
10.0 / 18.0
Walks
4.0 / 2.9
0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
ATH
HOU
ATH
ML
50%
81-82
59%
95-67
47%
77-87
54%
87-74
ATS
56%
91-72
52%
84-78
55%
90-74
50%
81-80
TTL
45%
70-84-9
54%
84-73-5
45%
69-86-9
42%
66-90-5
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