Home / MLB Projections MLB / Mariners @ Angels SEA @ LAA

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

56-49  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Jul 27 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

50-55  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Logan Gilbert
STARTING PITCHER

Logan Gilbert

#36 | Starting Pitcher
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Logan Gilbert None-None 3.36 -- 5.0 7
Reid Detmers None-None 3.99 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.36 Ldr ERA 3.99
-- WHIP --
5.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
7 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
56%
📊
ANGELS
44%
MARINERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Seattle)
MarinersSEA (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mariners Cover

61.5%

Angels Cover

38.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SEA By 3-4 runs

16.7%

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.9%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.1%

AI Model Projected Score
5.28
SEATTLE
4.11
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
SEATTLE
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mariners Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mariners (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAA @ SEA 3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026 LAA @ SEA 4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026 LAA @ SEA 7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026 LAA @ SEA 6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026 SEA @ LAA 7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle SEA
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.10 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.314 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.379 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.693 ▲
OPS
.679
182 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +66.2% more
Seattle: 2.1 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +31.0% more
Seattle: 15.0 vs Los Angeles: 10.3
Strikeouts (L5) +22.4% more
Seattle: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 7.8
Home Runs (Season) +15.4% more
Seattle: 182.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 5.3 1
LAA Score 4.1 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.1 / 8.2 4.0 / 2.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 2.1 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 10.0 7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 10.3 / 15.0 8.0 / 5.0
Walks 2.9 / 3.0 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
SEA
LAA
SEA
ML
59% 96-66
50% 81-81
55% 89-73
52% 85-77
ATS
60% 97-65
60% 98-64
51% 82-80
59% 95-67
TTL
53% 83-74-5
56% 85-67-10
52% 82-75-5
53% 81-71-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
si 39 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 56 minutes ago
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
yardbarker 57 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 6 hours, 35 minutes ago
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
yahoo 6 hours, 44 minutes ago