MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
48-53 | Road
5
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
61-41 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Calvin Faucher
#53 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Faucher | None-None | 3.92 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 2.68 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.92
ERA
Ldr 2.68
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
38%
BREWERS
62%
MARLINS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIA By 1-2 runs
17.1%
MIA By 3-4 runs
11.7%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
4.7
MIAMI
Milwaukee
5.35
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Miami
3
MIAMI
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Brewers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
C
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
MIA @ MIL
1 - 3
Jul 18, 2026
MIA @ MIL
6 - 8
Jul 17, 2026
MIA @ MIL
1 - 2
Apr 19, 2026
MIL @ MIA
3 - 5
Apr 18, 2026
MIL @ MIA
5 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.41
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.249
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.326
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.727
OPS
▲
.743
168
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+37.6% more
Milwaukee: 8.9
vs
Miami: 6.4
Hits (L5)
+37.3% more
Milwaukee: 10.9
vs
Miami: 8.0
Walks (L5)
+37.1% more
Milwaukee: 1.9
vs
Miami: 1.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+16.6% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Miami: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
4.7
5
MIL Score
5.4
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
3.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.9 / 8.0
4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 6.4
13.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.7 / 12.6
9.0 / 15.0
Walks
1.9 / 1.4
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
MIA
MIL
MIA
ML
62%
101-61
48%
78-84
52%
84-78
55%
88-72
ATS
58%
94-68
56%
91-71
48%
78-84
54%
86-74
TTL
40%
62-92-8
56%
88-69-5
50%
77-77-8
53%
82-73-5
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Padres' Bullpen Boosted for Game 4 as Miller Returns, King Avail…