ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
52-50 | Road
0
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
25-76 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andre Pallante
#53 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | None-None | 4.91 | -- | 5.0 | 5 |
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 2.89 | -- | 2.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.91
ERA
Ldr 2.89
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
76%
ROCKIES
24%
CARDINALS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around STL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
STL By 1-2 runs
18.7%
STL By 3-4 runs
14.1%
COL By 1-2 runs
18.1%
COL By 3-4 runs
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
3.77
ST. LOUIS
Colorado
3.57
COLORADO
Simulated Score
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals
Loss
76% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rockies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
C
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.3
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
STL @ COL
10 - 8
Sep 5, 2026
STL @ COL
7 - 10
Sep 4, 2026
STL @ COL
7 - 6
Aug 9, 2026
COL @ STL
4 - 7
Aug 8, 2026
COL @ STL
8 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis
STL
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.44
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.691
OPS
▲
.739
167
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+66.0% more
St. Louis: 0.9
vs
Colorado: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+37.8% more
St. Louis: 9.1
vs
Colorado: 5.7
Hits (L5)
+8.0% more
St. Louis: 10.5
vs
Colorado: 9.6
Home Runs (L5)
+81.0% more
Colorado: 1.3
vs
St. Louis: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
3.8
0
COL Score
3.6
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.6 / 10.5
12.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.7 / 9.1
5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
15.7 / 15.1
16.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.5
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
STL
COL
STL
ML
60%
97-64
53%
85-74
55%
88-73
52%
84-77
ATS
60%
97-64
56%
89-70
52%
83-78
53%
85-76
TTL
60%
93-62-6
46%
68-81-10
50%
77-78-6
50%
76-75-10
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