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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

60-41  |  Road

10
FINAL
Wed, Jul 23 • 3:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

54-47  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Joey Ortiz
STARTING PITCHER

Joey Ortiz

#3 | Shortstop
@
Cole Young
STARTING PITCHER

Cole Young

#2 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Joey Ortiz None-None -- -- -- --
Cole Young None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
56%
📊
MARINERS
44%
BREWERS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 63%
Under 0 37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

70.2%

Mariners Cover

29.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.5%

MIL By 3-4 runs

18.6%

SEA By 1-2 runs

13.2%

SEA By 3-4 runs

7.5%

AI Model Projected Score
5.99
MILWAUKEE
3.87
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
A
Sim Mariners (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.9
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 SEA @ MIL 4 - 7
Aug 19, 2026 SEA @ MIL 7 - 5
Aug 18, 2026 SEA @ MIL 0 - 22
Jul 23, 2025 MIL @ SEA 10 - 2
Jul 22, 2025 MIL @ SEA 0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.743 ▲
OPS
.693
154
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +20.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Seattle: 4.1
Hits (L5) +17.5% more
Milwaukee: 7.9 vs Seattle: 6.5
OPS (Season) +5.0%
Milwaukee: 74.3% vs Seattle: 69.3%
On-Base Pct (Season) +2.7%
Milwaukee: 34.1% vs Seattle: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 6.0 10
SEA Score 3.9 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.5 / 7.9 7.0 / 17.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.1 / 8.8 12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 10.4 / 10.6 9.0 / 20.0
Walks 3.0 / 1.9 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
MIL
SEA
MIL
ML
50% 81-81
62% 101-61
52% 85-77
52% 84-78
ATS
60% 98-64
58% 94-68
59% 95-67
48% 78-84
TTL
56% 85-67-10
40% 62-92-8
53% 81-71-10
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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