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SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

52-49  |  Road

9
FINAL
Tue, Jul 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Truist Park
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

44-55  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Landen Roupp
STARTING PITCHER

Landen Roupp

#65 | Starting Pitcher
@
Michael Harris II
STARTING PITCHER

Michael Harris II

#23 | Center Field
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Landen Roupp None-None 3.11 -- 5.0 6
Michael Harris II None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.11 ERA --
-- WHIP --
5.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
6 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
57%
📊
BRAVES
43%
GIANTS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 35%
Under 0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 BravesATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

53.6%

Braves Cover

46.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.0%

SF By 3-4 runs

14.6%

ATL By 1-2 runs

17.8%

ATL By 3-4 runs

12.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.9
SAN FRANCISCO
3.54
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim Braves (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 31, 2026 SF @ ATL 7 - 3
Jun 28, 2026 ATL @ SF 2 - 3
Jun 27, 2026 ATL @ SF 0 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATL @ SF 3 - 1
Jun 17, 2026 SF @ ATL 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Atlanta ATL
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 5.00
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .324
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .433
.706
OPS
▲ .757
178 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Atlanta: 1.0
Errors (L5) +54.0% more
San Francisco: 0.8 vs Atlanta: 0.3
Walks (L5) +31.0% more
San Francisco: 5.1 vs Atlanta: 3.5
Strikeouts (L5) +27.6% more
San Francisco: 8.1 vs Atlanta: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 3.9 9
ATL Score 3.5 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.4 / 9.5 8.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.0 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 5.8 / 8.1 6.0 / 14.0
Total Bases 14.4 / 15.1 9.0 / 20.0
Walks 3.5 / 5.1 6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATL Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
SF
ATL
SF
ML
46% 77-90
49% 79-81
54% 90-78
53% 85-75
ATS
57% 96-71
62% 100-60
52% 87-81
52% 83-77
TTL
53% 83-73-11
55% 82-68-10
49% 76-80-11
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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