MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

60-40  |  Road

0
FINAL
Tue, Jul 22 • 9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

53-47  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Abner Uribe
STARTING PITCHER

Abner Uribe

#45 | Relief Pitcher
@
Andres Munoz
STARTING PITCHER

Andres Munoz

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Abner Uribe None-None 2.19 -- 1.0 --
Andres Munoz None-None 1.42 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
2.19 ERA Ldr 1.42
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
57%
📊
MARINERS
43%
BREWERS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

70.7%

Mariners Cover

29.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.5%

MIL By 3-4 runs

18.7%

SEA By 1-2 runs

13.0%

SEA By 3-4 runs

7.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6.39
MILWAUKEE
4.21
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Loss
57% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.2
A
Sim Mariners (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.6
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 SEA @ MIL 4 - 7
Aug 19, 2026 SEA @ MIL 7 - 5
Aug 18, 2026 SEA @ MIL 0 - 22
Jul 23, 2025 MIL @ SEA 10 - 2
Jul 22, 2025 MIL @ SEA 0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.743 ▲
OPS
.693
154
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +24.7% more
Milwaukee: 10.4 vs Seattle: 7.8
Runs per Game (Season) +20.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Seattle: 4.1
Total Bases (L5) +19.3% more
Milwaukee: 14.4 vs Seattle: 11.6
OPS (Season) +5.0%
Milwaukee: 74.3% vs Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 6.4 0
SEA Score 4.2 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.8 / 10.4 4.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 8.2 13.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 11.6 / 14.4 8.0 / 3.0
Walks 3.0 / 1.8 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7