SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
52-48 | Road
5
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
43-55 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Camilo Doval
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryce Elder
#55 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | None-None | 2.89 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Bryce Elder | None-None | 5.63 | -- | 5.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.89 Ldr
ERA
5.63
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
58%
BRAVES
42%
GIANTS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
SF By 1-2 runs
18.4%
SF By 3-4 runs
13.5%
ATL By 1-2 runs
18.4%
ATL By 3-4 runs
13.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
3.56
SAN FRANCISCO
Atlanta
3.57
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
San Francisco
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Atlanta
5
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
42% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: 0.0
C
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 31, 2026
SF @ ATL
7 - 3
Jun 28, 2026
ATL @ SF
2 - 3
Jun 27, 2026
ATL @ SF
0 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
ATL @ SF
3 - 1
Jun 17, 2026
SF @ ATL
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.706
OPS
▲
.757
178
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+73.3% more
Atlanta: 1.8
vs
San Francisco: 1.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+21.1% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
San Francisco: 4.1
Walks (L5)
+19.4% more
Atlanta: 3.8
vs
San Francisco: 3.2
Total Bases (L5)
+19.2% more
Atlanta: 15.6
vs
San Francisco: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
3.6
5
ATL Score
3.6
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.2
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.6 / 8.2
8.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 6.1
3.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
15.6 / 13.1
12.0 / 19.0
Walks
3.8 / 3.2
3.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
SF
ATL
SF
ML
46%
77-90
49%
79-81
54%
90-78
53%
85-75
ATS
57%
96-71
62%
100-60
52%
87-81
52%
83-77
TTL
53%
83-73-11
55%
82-68-10
49%
76-80-11
46%
68-81-11
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS