MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
59-40 | Road
6
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
53-46 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
George Kirby
#68 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 2.74 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| George Kirby | None-None | 4.65 | -- | 6.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.74 Ldr
ERA
4.65
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
56%
MARINERS
44%
BREWERS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
74%
Under 0
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.2%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.0%
SEA By 1-2 runs
17.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.54
MILWAUKEE
Seattle
5.02
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.5
A
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.6
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
SEA @ MIL
4 - 7
Aug 19, 2026
SEA @ MIL
7 - 5
Aug 18, 2026
SEA @ MIL
0 - 22
Jul 23, 2025
MIL @ SEA
10 - 2
Jul 22, 2025
MIL @ SEA
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.743
▲
OPS
.693
154
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+20.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+12.8% more
Milwaukee: 10.5
vs
Seattle: 9.2
OPS (Season)
+5.0%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+2.7%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Seattle: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.5
6
SEA Score
5.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 10.5
5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 8.3
6.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
15.0 / 15.1
5.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.4 / 2.2
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
MIL
SEA
MIL
ML
50%
81-81
62%
101-61
52%
85-77
52%
84-78
ATS
60%
98-64
58%
94-68
59%
95-67
48%
78-84
TTL
56%
85-67-10
40%
62-92-8
53%
81-71-10
50%
77-77-8
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