Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Phillies LAA @ PHI

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

48-50  |  Road

8
FINAL
Sun, Jul 20 • 1:35 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

PHILLIESPHI

56-42  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Jorge Soler
STARTING PITCHER

Jorge Soler

#12 | Designated Hitter
@
Bryson Stott
STARTING PITCHER

Bryson Stott

#5 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jorge Soler None-None -- -- -- --
Bryson Stott None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
42%
📊
PHILLIES
58%
ANGELS --
PHILLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 58%
Under 0 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 PhilliesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.4%

Phillies Cover

59.6%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.7%

PHI By 1-2 runs

19.6%

PHI By 3-4 runs

16.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4.29
LOS ANGELES
5.26
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Phillies Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim Phillies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Phillies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Phillies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 PHI @ LAA 5 - 2
Aug 29, 2026 PHI @ LAA 4 - 2
Aug 28, 2026 PHI @ LAA 5 - 3
Jul 20, 2025 LAA @ PHI 8 - 2
Jul 19, 2025 LAA @ PHI 5 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Philadelphia PHI
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.04 ▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .247
.310 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .438
.679
OPS
▲ .724
154 ▲
Home Runs
3
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +19.9% more
Philadelphia: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 8.4
Slugging Pct (Season) +6.9%
Philadelphia: 43.8% vs Los Angeles: 36.9%
OPS (Season) +4.5%
Philadelphia: 72.4% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Batting Avg (Season) +1.3%
Philadelphia: 24.7% vs Los Angeles: 23.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.3 8
PHI Score 5.3 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.6 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.1 / 10.2 6.0 / 14.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 2.1 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.0 / 8.4 6.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 15.4 / 19.0 9.0 / 19.0
Walks 2.7 / 4.7 6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
PHI Advantage
89-76-0 (53.9%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
LAA
PHI
LAA
ML
59% 97-67
59% 96-66
49% 80-84
55% 89-73
ATS
65% 107-57
60% 97-65
51% 83-81
51% 82-80
TTL
57% 88-67-9
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-76-9
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 3 hours, 59 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 9 hours, 49 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 15 hours, 55 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 21 hours, 59 minutes ago
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
si 1 day, 9 hours ago