CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
34-65 | Road
7
PITTSBURGH
PIRATESPIT
39-60 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yohan Ramirez
#49 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 4.15 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Yohan Ramirez | None-None | 5.68 | -- | 3.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.15 Ldr
ERA
5.68
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 3.0
3
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
45%
PIRATES
55%
WHITE SOX
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
14.0%
PIT By 1-2 runs
18.1%
PIT By 3-4 runs
13.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.26
CHICAGO
Pittsburgh
4.1
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Pittsburgh
5
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
White Sox (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.2
A
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
PIT @ CHW
2 - 0
Sep 9, 2026
PIT @ CHW
4 - 2
Sep 8, 2026
PIT @ CHW
9 - 3
Jul 20, 2025
CHW @ PIT
7 - 2
Jul 19, 2025
CHW @ PIT
10 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Pittsburgh
PIT
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.73
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.253
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.330
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.404
.826
▲
OPS
.734
1
Home Runs
▲
186
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+54.0% more
Chicago: 0.9
vs
Pittsburgh: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+22.4% more
Chicago: 16.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.5
Runs per Game (Season)
+21.2% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 4.7
OPS (Season)
+9.2%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Pittsburgh: 73.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.3
7
PIT Score
4.1
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.9 / 9.7
4.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.9
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 7.3
8.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
12.5 / 16.1
6.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.6 / 2.9
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
PIT
82-80-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
PIT
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
PIT
81-74-7
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CHW
PIT
CHW
ML
52%
82-77
49%
81-86
52%
85-78
56%
94-73
ATS
54%
86-73
59%
99-68
50%
81-82
56%
93-74
TTL
47%
72-81-6
58%
96-69-2
50%
79-78-6
51%
84-81-2
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