ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
42-58 | Road
2
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
47-50 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jeffrey Springs
#59 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | None-None | 4.18 | -- | 4.0 | 4 |
| Cade Smith | None-None | 3.21 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.18
ERA
Ldr 3.21
--
WHIP
--
4.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
44%
GUARDIANS
56%
ATHLETICS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
85%
Under 0
15%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
16.8%
CLE By 1-2 runs
15.8%
CLE By 3-4 runs
10.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.55
ATHLETICS
Cleveland
3.35
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Loss
44% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Athletics (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
ATH @ CLE
0 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
ATH @ CLE
6 - 12
Sep 18, 2026
ATH @ CLE
3 - 5
May 3, 2026
CLE @ ATH
1 - 7
May 2, 2026
CLE @ ATH
14 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.719
▲
OPS
.696
194
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+59.0% more
Athletics: 3.3
vs
Cleveland: 1.4
Total Bases (L5)
+45.7% more
Athletics: 22.1
vs
Cleveland: 12.0
Hits (L5)
+45.3% more
Athletics: 10.4
vs
Cleveland: 5.7
Home Runs (L5)
+40.1% more
Athletics: 2.4
vs
Cleveland: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.6
2
CLE Score
3.4
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.7 / 10.4
12.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 2.4
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 9.4
14.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
12.0 / 22.1
19.0 / 11.0
Walks
1.4 / 3.3
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
ATH
CLE
ATH
ML
54%
87-74
59%
95-67
49%
80-82
54%
87-74
ATS
58%
93-68
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
81-80
TTL
55%
88-71-2
54%
84-73-5
43%
69-90-2
42%
66-90-5
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…