MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
47-51 | Road
7
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
24-74 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Joe Ryan
#41 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | None-None | 2.63 | -- | 7.0 | 11 |
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 5.59 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.63 Ldr
ERA
5.59
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
11 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
74%
ROCKIES
26%
TWINS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
MIN By 1-2 runs
18.1%
MIN By 3-4 runs
13.0%
COL By 1-2 runs
18.8%
COL By 3-4 runs
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.52
MINNESOTA
Colorado
3.73
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockies
Loss
26% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
C
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
COL @ MIN
2 - 3
Jun 27, 2026
COL @ MIN
8 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
COL @ MIN
8 - 9
Jul 20, 2025
MIN @ COL
7 - 1
Jul 19, 2025
MIN @ COL
6 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.720
OPS
▲
.739
187
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+63.0% more
Colorado: 3.3
vs
Minnesota: 2.0
Home Runs (L5)
+58.7% more
Colorado: 1.7
vs
Minnesota: 1.1
Hits (L5)
+27.4% more
Colorado: 11.1
vs
Minnesota: 8.7
Total Bases (L5)
+25.2% more
Colorado: 19.0
vs
Minnesota: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.5
7
COL Score
3.7
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
11.1 / 8.7
6.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.1
1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
6.7 / 8.4
6.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
19.0 / 15.2
11.0 / 28.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.0
5.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIN
COL
MIN
ML
60%
97-64
52%
84-78
55%
88-73
50%
80-81
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
95-67
52%
83-78
59%
95-66
TTL
60%
93-62-6
51%
78-75-9
50%
77-78-6
53%
80-72-9
Contextual Game News
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Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…