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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

58-40  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sun, Jul 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

58-41  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Abner Uribe
STARTING PITCHER

Abner Uribe

#45 | Relief Pitcher
@
Will Klein
STARTING PITCHER

Will Klein

#61 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Abner Uribe None-None 2.23 -- 1.0 --
Will Klein None-None 2.89 -- 1.1 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.23 Ldr ERA 2.89
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.1
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
51%
📊
DODGERS
49%
BREWERS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 58%
Under 0 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

72.9%

Dodgers Cover

27.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.2%

MIL By 3-4 runs

19.1%

LAD By 1-2 runs

12.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

6.7%

AI Model Projected Score
5.55
MILWAUKEE
3.11
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.4
A
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 2
Aug 15, 2026 MIL @ LAD 4 - 1
Aug 14, 2026 MIL @ LAD 1 - 3
Aug 13, 2026 MIL @ LAD 5 - 4
May 24, 2026 LAD @ MIL 5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.743
OPS
▲ .762
154
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +30.3% more
Milwaukee: 10.3 vs Los Angeles: 7.2
Total Bases (L5) +25.7% more
Milwaukee: 16.7 vs Los Angeles: 12.4
Strikeouts (L5) +14.1% more
Milwaukee: 9.9 vs Los Angeles: 8.5
Runs per Game (Season) +3.9% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Los Angeles: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 5.6 6
LAD Score 3.1 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.3 3.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.2 / 10.3 6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.4 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 9.9 6.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 12.4 / 16.7 13.0 / 12.0
Walks 3.6 / 2.4 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
LAD
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
MIL
LAD
MIL
ML
56% 92-73
62% 101-61
48% 79-87
52% 84-78
ATS
59% 98-67
58% 94-68
43% 72-94
48% 78-84
TTL
48% 77-82-6
40% 62-92-8
44% 70-90-6
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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