ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
41-58 | Road
8
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
47-49 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Matt Festa
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 2.84 | -- | 3.0 | 3 |
| Matt Festa | None-None | 4.76 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.84 Ldr
ERA
4.76
--
WHIP
--
3.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
42%
GUARDIANS
58%
ATHLETICS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
18.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
14.0%
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.1%
CLE By 3-4 runs
13.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.84
ATHLETICS
Cleveland
3.68
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Win
42% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.2
D
Sim
Athletics (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
ATH @ CLE
0 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
ATH @ CLE
6 - 12
Sep 18, 2026
ATH @ CLE
3 - 5
May 3, 2026
CLE @ ATH
1 - 7
May 2, 2026
CLE @ ATH
14 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.719
▲
OPS
.696
194
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+48.3% more
Athletics: 2.9
vs
Cleveland: 1.5
Errors (L5)
+48.0% more
Athletics: 0.5
vs
Cleveland: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+26.6% more
Athletics: 10.7
vs
Cleveland: 7.8
Home Runs (L5)
+21.1% more
Athletics: 2.1
vs
Cleveland: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.8
8
CLE Score
3.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.0 / 8.6
3.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 2.1
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 10.7
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
15.0 / 18.1
6.0 / 30.0
Walks
1.5 / 2.9
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
87-79-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
ATH
CLE
ATH
ML
54%
87-75
59%
95-67
49%
80-83
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
93-69
52%
84-78
58%
95-68
50%
81-80
TTL
56%
89-71-2
54%
84-73-5
44%
70-90-2
42%
66-90-5
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