CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
32-65 | Road
10
PITTSBURGH
PIRATESPIT
39-58 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Colson Montgomery
#12 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Yohan Ramirez
#49 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colson Montgomery | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Yohan Ramirez | None-None | 10.80 | -- | 1.1 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
10.80
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
42%
PIRATES
58%
WHITE SOX
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around PIT -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
CHW By 1-2 runs
15.4%
CHW By 3-4 runs
9.6%
PIT By 1-2 runs
19.7%
PIT By 3-4 runs
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.43
CHICAGO
Pittsburgh
4.77
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Pittsburgh
5
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.3
B
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.2
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
PIT @ CHW
2 - 0
Sep 9, 2026
PIT @ CHW
4 - 2
Sep 8, 2026
PIT @ CHW
9 - 3
Jul 20, 2025
CHW @ PIT
7 - 2
Jul 19, 2025
CHW @ PIT
10 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Pittsburgh
PIT
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.73
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.253
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.330
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.404
.826
▲
OPS
.734
1
Home Runs
▲
186
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18500.0% more
Pittsburgh: 186.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+16.5% more
Pittsburgh: 7.7
vs
Chicago: 6.6
Walks (L5)
+47.7% more
Chicago: 3.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 1.7
Errors (L5)
+44.0% more
Chicago: 0.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.4
10
PIT Score
4.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.7 / 6.6
5.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.0
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.0 / 7.6
6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
11.1 / 11.5
7.0 / 21.0
Walks
1.7 / 3.2
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
PIT
82-80-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
PIT
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
PIT
81-74-7
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CHW
PIT
CHW
ML
52%
82-77
48%
81-87
52%
85-78
56%
94-74
ATS
54%
86-73
59%
99-69
50%
81-82
55%
93-75
TTL
47%
72-81-6
58%
97-69-2
50%
79-78-6
51%
85-81-2
Contextual Game News
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