MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
47-49 | Road
4
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
22-74 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Travis Adams
#45 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Freeland
#21 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Adams | None-None | 6.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Kyle Freeland | None-None | 5.19 | -- | 6.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.00
ERA
Ldr 5.19
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
76%
ROCKIES
24%
TWINS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
17.2%
COL By 1-2 runs
15.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4.24
MINNESOTA
Colorado
2.86
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Twins
Loss
76% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rockies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Twins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
C
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
COL @ MIN
2 - 3
Jun 27, 2026
COL @ MIN
8 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
COL @ MIN
8 - 9
Jul 20, 2025
MIN @ COL
7 - 1
Jul 19, 2025
MIN @ COL
6 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.720
OPS
▲
.739
187
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+56.2% more
Minnesota: 1.5
vs
Colorado: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+32.4% more
Minnesota: 15.1
vs
Colorado: 10.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+16.8% more
Minnesota: 7.6
vs
Colorado: 6.3
Hits (L5)
+16.0% more
Minnesota: 8.6
vs
Colorado: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.2
4
COL Score
2.9
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.2 / 8.6
13.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.5
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.3 / 7.6
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.2 / 15.1
26.0 / 17.0
Walks
2.8 / 2.2
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIN
COL
MIN
ML
60%
97-64
52%
84-78
55%
88-73
50%
80-81
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
95-67
52%
83-78
59%
95-66
TTL
60%
93-62-6
51%
78-75-9
50%
77-78-6
53%
80-72-9
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