SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
50-45 | Road
8
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
59-37 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brenan Hanifee
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.50 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Brenan Hanifee | None-None | 3.35 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.50 Ldr
ERA
3.35
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
41%
TIGERS
59%
MARINERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.3%
DET By 1-2 runs
15.2%
DET By 3-4 runs
9.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.95
SEATTLE
Detroit
4.51
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
41% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
C
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+47.2% more
Seattle: 2.5
vs
Detroit: 1.3
Total Bases (L5)
+39.4% more
Seattle: 22.4
vs
Detroit: 13.5
Hits (L5)
+36.9% more
Seattle: 12.2
vs
Detroit: 7.7
Walks (L5)
+16.1% more
Seattle: 4.0
vs
Detroit: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
6.0
8
DET Score
4.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.5
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.7 / 12.2
8.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 2.5
1.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 8.9
10.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 22.4
12.0 / 28.0
Walks
3.3 / 4.0
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SEA
DET
SEA
ML
54%
86-73
50%
81-81
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
60%
98-64
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-10
53%
81-71-10
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