ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
46-49 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
46-48 | Home
10
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Morillo
#62 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sam Bachman
#40 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Morillo | None-None | 4.94 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Sam Bachman | None-None | 3.27 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.94
ERA
Ldr 3.27
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
49%
ANGELS
51%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ARI -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
ARI By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ARI By 3-4 runs
18.1%
LAA By 1-2 runs
14.2%
LAA By 3-4 runs
8.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
5.89
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
4.1
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Arizona
3
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks
Loss
49% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.8
B
Sim
Angels (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 17, 2026
LAA @ ARI
1 - 8
Jun 16, 2026
LAA @ ARI
7 - 0
Jun 15, 2026
LAA @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 13, 2025
ARI @ LAA
5 - 1
Jul 12, 2025
ARI @ LAA
5 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.318
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.720
▲
OPS
.679
166
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+14.5% more
Arizona: 4.4
vs
Los Angeles: 3.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.4% more
Arizona: 4.6
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Home Runs (Season)
+7.2% more
Arizona: 166.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
OPS (Season)
+4.1%
Arizona: 72.0%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
5.9
5
LAA Score
4.1
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.3 / 8.5
15.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 1.5
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.6 / 5.7
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
17.9 / 15.9
21.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.8 / 4.4
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ARI
LAA
ARI
ML
59%
96-66
54%
87-74
55%
89-73
54%
86-74
ATS
60%
97-65
57%
91-70
51%
82-80
56%
89-71
TTL
53%
83-74-5
52%
80-73-8
52%
82-75-5
49%
73-77-9
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