SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
48-45 | Road
12
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
59-35 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Gabe Speier
#55 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Speier | None-None | 2.52 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 3.77 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.52 Ldr
ERA
3.77
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
39%
TIGERS
61%
MARINERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
SEA By 1-2 runs
13.1%
SEA By 3-4 runs
7.4%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.5%
DET By 3-4 runs
18.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3.99
SEATTLE
Detroit
6.15
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+8.8% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Seattle: 4.1
OPS (Season)
+2.7%
Detroit: 72.0%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.1%
Detroit: 40.0%
vs
Seattle: 37.9%
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.8%
Detroit: 24.1%
vs
Seattle: 23.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.0
12
DET Score
6.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.7
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.9 / 7.7
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.8
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 7.5
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
13.0 / 14.5
8.0 / 22.0
Walks
2.0 / 3.2
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SEA
DET
SEA
ML
54%
86-73
50%
81-81
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
60%
98-64
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-10
53%
81-71-10
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