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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

45-48  |  Road

11
FINAL
Thu, Jul 10 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

45-47  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Latz
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Latz

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jorge Soler
STARTING PITCHER

Jorge Soler

#12 | Designated Hitter
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Latz None-None 3.00 -- 3.1 6
Jorge Soler None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.00 ERA --
-- WHIP --
3.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
6 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
49%
📊
ANGELS
51%
RANGERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 58%
Under 0 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Texas)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

66.4%

Angels Cover

33.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

TEX By 1-2 runs

19.7%

TEX By 3-4 runs

17.9%

LAA By 1-2 runs

14.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

8.7%

AI Model Projected Score
5.99
TEXAS
4.3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Win
49% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.7
D
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026 LAA @ TEX 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026 TEX @ LAA 0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026 TEX @ LAA 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713 ▲
OPS
.679
183 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +35.0% more
Texas: 1.0 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Home Runs (Season) +15.8% more
Texas: 183.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
OPS (Season) +3.4%
Texas: 71.3% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Slugging Pct (Season) +2.7%
Texas: 39.6% vs Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 6.0 11
LAA Score 4.3 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.2 / 9.6 10.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 1.8 / 1.7 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.4 / 6.2 8.0 / 13.0
Total Bases 15.9 / 17.3 17.0 / 18.0
Walks 4.0 / 2.1 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59% 96-66
53% 86-76
55% 89-73
57% 91-70
ATS
60% 97-65
57% 92-70
51% 82-80
61% 98-63
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 78-70-14
52% 82-75-5
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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