CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
42-48 | Road
4
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
55-37 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Slade Cecconi
#44 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan King
#74 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi | None-None | 3.44 | -- | 7.0 | 9 |
| Bryan King | None-None | 2.84 | -- | 2.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.44
ERA
Ldr 2.84
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
9 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
37%
ASTROS
63%
GUARDIANS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.4%
CLE By 3-4 runs
15.7%
HOU By 1-2 runs
16.9%
HOU By 3-4 runs
11.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
4.69
CLEVELAND
Houston
3.94
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
37% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 21, 2026
CLE @ HOU
1 - 2
Jun 20, 2026
CLE @ HOU
8 - 1
Jun 19, 2026
CLE @ HOU
3 - 9
Apr 22, 2026
HOU @ CLE
2 - 0
Apr 21, 2026
HOU @ CLE
5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.19
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.316
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.380
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.696
▲
OPS
.582
162
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+97.5% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+33.7% more
Cleveland: 10.0
vs
Houston: 6.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+28.4% more
Cleveland: 4.2
vs
Houston: 3.0
Errors (L5)
+22.0% more
Cleveland: 0.4
vs
Houston: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
4.7
4
HOU Score
3.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.1 / 7.6
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.6
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.6 / 10.0
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
18.4 / 14.8
8.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.5 / 4.4
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
87-79-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
HOU
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9%
Total +/-: +0.5
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
CLE
HOU
CLE
ML
50%
81-82
54%
87-75
47%
77-87
49%
80-83
ATS
56%
91-72
57%
93-69
55%
90-74
58%
95-68
TTL
45%
70-84-9
56%
89-71-2
45%
69-86-9
44%
70-90-2
Contextual Game News
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